ECMWF

Confidence levels are high that the the fall and winter months will be milder and drier than average, based on a developing Super El Nino pattern in the Pacific Ocean

The hottest air of the summer will brush much of Minnesota and Wisconsin with a heat index anywhere from 100 to 111F Tuesday and Wednesday, hot enough to buckle roads according to NOAA

Under the heading anything is possible in 2023, Hurricane Hilary is expected to impact San Diego and Los Angeles with tropical storm force winds and serious flooding this weekend

The hottest weather of the summer may brush parts of southern and western Minnesota with 100-degree heat next week, with potentially dangerous heat indices

The El Nino pattern currently underway may quickly become a Super El Nino, keeping the Northland warmer and drier into next winter, with frequent outbreaks of "weather weirding".

The Twin Ports just set a new all-time winter snowfall record: more than 138" and the snow isn't over just yet. The freezing rain is over but more light snow will fall today and tonight.

High winds and rain freezing on contact may coat trees and highways with an icy coating today, before a changeover to snow tonight and Friday that should push the Twin Ports to a new, all-time snowfall record for the winter.

Here is subtle sign of spring: this next storm won't be all-snow. Temperatures aloft will be warm enough for rain, freezing on contact with cold surfaces, especially Tuesday night. Glaze ice may trigger treacherous travel, followed by a few (plowable) inches of snow and high winds on Wednesday.

We are fairly confident that 2-5" snow will fall on much of the Northland late Thursday and Thursday night, possibly enough to shovel and plow. A much more significant storm is shaping up for Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, with potential icing and blizzard conditions. It's still way too early to predict specific inch-amounts, but looking at weather models it could be quite a pile...again.