Winter has officially arrived and way later than usual in Minnesota and Wisconsin! We skated by through most of 2023 without any major snow or cold snaps. However, things have definitely changed over the past few weeks.

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We still haven't seen a ton of snow but we have certainly been cold! We've been sitting in a prolonged cold snap for a good part of the month. The good news is, things are going to warm up as we head into the last part of January.

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So while we wait out our first big snowfall, I turned to a popular weather analyst to see what we could be in for. His name is Ryan Hall and he has a huge following! He makes weather videos often, using science and weather models to create forecasts.

He does so in a way that is easy to follow along, even if you don't know much about the weather. At the start of the winter season, he shared a video about snow totals across the country and I decided to dive in.

So How Much Snow Will Minnesota + Wisconsin Get This Winter?

Breathe a sigh of relief if you aren't a big fan of snow. Ryan Hall says that we will see well below average snow totals this winter. That checks out so far as we have yet to see any real, big snowstorm.

He goes into great detail around the five-minute mark if you want all the scientific facts behind his forecast. Overall, he is forecasting less snow than average for both Minnesota and Wisconsin this year.

He even takes it one step further, stating that we will see 'way less' than average snowfall this winter for both Minnesota and Wisconsin. In fact, he says we could see thirty to forty percent less snow than average.

What Does That Equate To For Minnesota + Wisconsin?

After doing some math, it looks like we could see anywhere from around 29 to 34 inches of snow on the low end, to about 43 to 50 inches on the higher end of our average winter snowfall.

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That is, if his forecast ends up coming to fruition. Even he acknowledges in this video that he could be wrong! Weather is always changing and the great Lake Superior certainly doesn't make things easy for forecasters.

The 15 Least Snowy Winters On Record In Duluth History

Since the National Weather Service began keeping weather records in Duluth in the late 1800s, here are the 15 winters with the lowest snowfall totals on historical record.

It is worth noting that the official records from 1941-today have been recorded at the area now known as the Duluth International Airport (away from the lake, on top of the hill). Before then, various locations closer to Lake Superior had been used for official weather recording data. For anyone that knows anything about how Lake Superior and the hill play a role in temperature and snow, you can see how this makes older records inherently different.

While these records note the "least snowy winters", they actually include all seasonal snowfall from July 1 through June 30 of the following year.

Gallery Credit: Nick Cooper - TSM Duluth

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